Oscar initially had a low chance of developing, but is now headed for the Caribbean as a hurricane, bringing heavy rain and dangerous storm surge, according to the 2 p.m. Saturday from the National Hurricane Center. Hurricane Oscar is moving west at around 12 mph and is predicted to be stay on this path for the rest of Saturday.

Oscar probably won’t be around long. After making a run westward at Cuba, it will begin turning north into Monday and weakening into Tuesday.

Hurricane Oscar has formed off the coast of the Bahamas, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Saturday. The storm poses potential threats to surrounding areas of the southeastern Bahamas and is expected to bring hurricane conditions and produce a storm surge on the Turks and Caicos Islands,